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Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM at Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and leave our college football picks and also I will deviate from our regularly scheduled program of NFL discussion to dip our feet into uncharted waters.
It will almost certainly be the very first and only time this year we do so, as the previous week of display NFL football is somewhat lackluster compared to some regular-season sport of NCAA soccer featuring one of the greatest teams in the nation, plus a mythical football program to boot, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, let us start the discussion after my friend Doug Upstone got the best of me last week with a wager about the Steelers while the Titans were supported by me. We have been swapping wins forth and back so it appears like its my turn to get the gold wreath, as I will follow the squares laying the lumber that is heavy on a road favorite and endorse the Irish.
After reviewing the school football odds nearly six days before the Monday night event, I see the line has spiked a half-point on the preferred, starting at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where its now offered at a solid -20 round the board whatsoever of the best internet sportsbooks.
Doug, I enjoy the Irish but youre leaning in this battle to the Cardinals. Apart from the place, why is it that you believe Louisville can hang with the boys in South Bend?
Doug Upstone: Yes, Swinger, IMO and at least a successful win, it said a great deal about the Steelers and Titans management. Lets proceed to football, where the matches rely and so will our records on this one.
Recall those Thursday night games Louisville used to play against opponents that are big-name? They held their own and engineered several upsets. These were enjoyable games and also the Cardinals were an exciting golf club.
But like the former Papa Johns Stadium as well as its fake (in real life) owner, Louisville soccer last year was worse than the usual three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield are out to alter the culture and win matches and worked miracles. This wont happen right away as the talent level is down in theVille. This is a major moment for Louisville, a team that has the opportunity.
I have read where the Cards trainers have sped up the slow mechanics of QB Jawon Pass (great name for a QB) and that I like Hassan Hall as the direct running back. The shield, well, which makes me more nervous than having a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9. Why you have your Irish up, please do tell.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals wont be doing much as the Notre Dame defense will keep them snug in their nest flying in this game. Scott Satterfield is in the big leagues and hes got a team coming off of a dismal 2-10 record last year in which they went winless in ACC activity. This rebuild is comparable to carrying a hot air balloon and seeking to turn it into an F-22 Raptor.
While this may eventually occur, the problem is that Louisville is facing a team which made it to the CFP this past year and possessed only one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, devoting only 17.2 points within the normal season and going a perfect 12-0 till they fulfilled Clemson from the CFP semifinals. The Irish offense was clicking on all cylinders also, averaging 33 points per game over.
My issue is, just how will be a quarterback like Pass whos slow to discharge, designed to get some traction against a swarming defense? Particularly when hes working with a trainer and an entirely new offensive scheme?
Please, Doug, rescue me I am lost! I see no way, shape or form where Louisville is going to be able to keep pace and Im desperate for handicapping expertise and the sage wisdom!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, I am happy to see in your last sentence youre coming on to the sunny side of sport gambling, or you are just being the exact wise a** you usually are. I will let the SBR readers that are currently making school football picks decide on that. I am the first to understand Louisville completely sucked and wasnt just 2-10, however 1-11 ATS last season.
Just like he gave up on the Atlanta Falcons However, that team COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino. A new coach brings a new attitude on creating a statement and with this being a national match, his team will be sold by Satterfield. Louisville does need to hope they will not be taken by the Irish for granted and not have much fight.
Lets also think about, Brian Kelly with the blue and gold is just 10-13-1 ATS as a road favorite, and a mere 7-9-1 ATS if dishing out more or 20 specimens. This defense you said might improve as the year progresses but replacing five starters, even whenever you dont/cant recruit like Bama or even Clemson, it will take some time.
Swinging Johnson: Well Doug, I was becoming a bit facetious because though youve got an handicapping resume, you miss the mark from time to time. And in this scenario, because Louisville might be better but I would submit that they are coached with a Rhesus monkey and enhance upon their record left by an equally awkward coach such as Petrino you happen to be shooting blanks.
I understand that placing nearly 3 touchdowns on the road would be square biz for certain and Joe Q. Public never got rich by gambling the heavy street chalk, but on occasion the general public is right, and also in this instance they certainly are. Until next week when we get back on our NFL Game of the Week, lets see what happens on Monday when the Irish come ready to squint at Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)
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